Welsh Tories’ Trump trip means Labour to win budget vote

The Welsh government is poised to win a vote on its draft budget as the Conservatives’ leader and another of his politicians have gone to the US for a prayer meeting in Washington DC.

Darren Millar and Russell George are going to the National Prayer Breakfast where President Donald Trump is expected to give a speech, meaning the pair will miss the Senedd’s first opportunity to debate and vote on next year’s spending plans.

The prayer meeting on 6 February is an important date in the American political calendar and the first since Trump’s inauguration.

Labour has exactly half the seats in the Welsh Parliament, so cannot win votes if the opposition unites.

Plaid Cymru accused the Tories of giving up on being an opposition party, while Reform said the Conservatives “don’t care about Wales”.

The vote is largely symbolic, but losing it would embarrass the government.

Both Tories are trustees of a Christian charity, the Evans Roberts Institute.

The institute last year funded Rhys ab Owen to go to the same American event, while he was under investigation for his conduct.

Ministers will have to publish a final version of the budget and get it approved by the Senedd next month.

Conservatives have strongly criticised the spending plans and said on Monday night: “It must be voted down.”

But it emerged on Tuesday morning Millar would not be there because of what was described as “a long-standing commitment in the US where he will be meeting a number of high-profile politicians”.

Absent Senedd members can ask a member from another party to sit out the vote, an informal arrangement known as pairing.

It is understood the Conservatives asked Labour to pair, but the request was rejected.

If MSs need parental leave, have long term illness, caring responsibilities, or are suffering a bereavement someone can cast a proxy vote on their behalf. Labour’s Lesley Griffiths is away for a month and has arranged for a proxy vote.

Plaid Cymru says it will vote against the budget.

It is thought the sole Liberal Democrat Jane Dodds was the most likely to negotiate a deal with the government.

In First Minister’s Questions, Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth said Mr Millar’s absence was “remarkable”.

He said the party had “clearly given up even on being an opposition party”.

A Newport Conservative councillor, David Fouweather, said on X: “If this is true it’s an absolute disgrace that two of our members are missing. By not being present they are letting Labour do as they wish.”

A spokesman for Reform, which has no Senedd seats, said: “Today, the Senedd opposition had the opportunity to stand up against Mark Drakeford’s disastrous draft budget.

“Instead, the Tory leader of the opposition is in Washington DC proving yet again that the Conservatives don’t care about Wales. They are opposition in name only.”

By Gareth Lewis, BBC Wales political editor

Politics can move in mysterious ways at times, but this development has come as a huge surprise.

Yes, the vote on the draft budget would have been symbolic because the final vote comes in March, but it was a rare opportunity to embarrass Labour.

Now it’s the Conservatives in that position, especially after a punchy press release last night saying the budget should be voted down – something they knew could not happen.

To say Labour and Plaid Cymru have been taken aback by events would be an understatement.

Conservative sources are trying to play it down, saying Lib Dem leader Jane Dodds would have abstained in any case – although it has not been confirmed how she will vote.

And this does not take away from one final manoeuvre – Labour still needs to do a deal to get its budget through the Senedd in March.

A Welsh Conservative spokesperson said: “There is a vote today to “note” the draft budget. It is not the final vote which will be next month. The Welsh Conservative group will certainly be voting it down because we believe Labour have the wrong priorities.

“Darren had a longstanding commitment in the US where he will be meeting a number of high-profile politicians.

“Following the decision of Keir Starmer to allow around a hundred Labour activists to campaign abroad against President Trump, Darren’s presence will help rebuild relationships between the US and Wales more broadly.”

Additional reporting by David Deans.