Supermicro Stock Has Gained 40% So Far This Week—These Are The Key Levels to Monitor

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares surged to their highest level since late February on Wednesday, boosted by a recent AI deal and bullish analyst commentary.

The server maker announced a $20 billion partnership with Saudi Arabian data center company DataVolt late Tuesday, coinciding with Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) also announcing deals with firms in the kingdom as President Donald Trump began a four-day trip to the Middle East. 

Sentiment for the stock also received a lift earlier this week after Raymond James named Supermicro a “market leader in AI-optimized infrastructure,” adding that it sits well placed to grow its market share.

Supermicro shares have been on a volatile ride following a difficult period headlined by several delayed filings that saw the stock narrowly avoid a Nasdaq delisting. However, the shares are up nearly 50% since the start of the year and have rebounded 63% from their April low.

On Wednesday, Supermicro shares rose 16% for the second consecutive day, closing at $45. The stock has gained 40% this week alone.

Below, we take a closer look at the server maker’s chart and use technical analysis to identify important price levels that investors will likely be watching out for.

Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout

Supermicro shares staged a decisive breakout above the upper trendline of a falling wedge pattern on Tuesday, with the price accelerating above the 200-day moving average in Wednesday’s trading session.

Importantly, Wednesday’s jump occurred on the highest volume since late February, indicating buying conviction by larger market participants. Moreover, the relative strength index confirms bullish price momentum, though the indicator nears overbought levels, increasing the possibility of short-term dips.

Let’s identify key overhead areas on Supermicro’s chart where the shares may encounter resistance amid further upside and also locate support levels worth monitoring during potential retracements.

Key Overhead Areas to Watch

The first overhead area to watch sits at the psychological $50 level. This area may provide selling pressure near last August’s swing low and the upper range of a consolidation period that formed on the chart throughout most of October.

A close above this level could see the shares climb to around $63. Investors may look for exit points in this region near the August countertrend high and prominent February peak. This level also sits in the same vicinity as a projected bars pattern target that takes the stock’s steep uptrend in February following a prior falling wedge pattern on the chart and overlays it from Monday’s breakout from the current falling wedge pattern.

Support Levels to Monitor

During retracements in the stock, investors should initially keep track of the $35 level. The shares would likely attract buying interest on a retest of Monday’s breakout point, which also aligns with a range of corresponding price action on the chart stretching back to last October’s gap lower.

Finally, selling below this level could see Supermicro shares revisit lower support around $26. Investors may seek longer-term buy-and-hold opportunities in this region near the early-February swing low.

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As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.