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Jobs data poised to help pencil in draw down on rates

The Reserve Bank is watching closely as the last data domino falls before a pivotal rates meeting.

The RBA’s preferred measure of inflation – the trimmed mean – fell back into target at 2.9% in April, but tightness in the labour market remains a concern for the central bank.

Joblessness is expected to remain at 4.1% when the Australian Bureau of Statistics releases labour force data for the month of April today. It is the last major data news before the RBA board reveals its interest rate decision on Tuesday and could give it a final green light to cut rates.

The rates market has fully priced in a 25 basis point cut, while a majority of economists expect the board to drop rates for a second time this cycle, after its move lower in February.

The central bank has predicted the jobless rate to come in at 4.2% for the June quarter but unemployment has held below that level since July 2024.

Australian Associated Press

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