Surge in marine heatwaves costs lives and billions in storm damage – study


The world’s oceans experienced three-and-a-half times as many marine heatwave days last year and in 2023 compared with any other year on record, a study has found.

The sustained spike in ocean temperatures cost lives and caused billions of dollars in storm damage, increased whale and dolphin stranding risks, harmed commercial fishing and sparked a global coral bleaching, according to the paper published on Friday in Nature Climate Change.

At least 45 people died in April last year when a dam burst in Kenya’s Rift valley, as torrential rains battered the country. Photograph: Luis Tato/AFP/Getty Images

Like heatwaves on land, a marine heatwave is defined as a period of higher than normal temperature over a longer than usual time. The most recent of these were brought about by human-induced climate change and amplified by El Niño conditions, the report’s authors said, with nearly 10% of the ocean hitting record high temperatures in 2023-24.

“The more regularly our marine ecosystems are being hit by marine heatwaves, the harder it is for them to recover from each event,” said lead author Kathryn Smith from the UK’s Marine Biological Association.

Higher ocean temperatures “supercharge” evaporation, the study said, fuelling storms such as Cyclone Gabrielle which hit New Zealand in February 2023, killing 11 people and costing an estimated NZ$14.5bn (about £6.5bn).

One of the most surprising findings in the study, said Smith, was “how much [marine heatwaves] accentuated storms on land and the number of people that were hit by that – hurt, lost possessions, [suffered a] monetary impact or lost their lives”.

More worryingly, she said: “There is going to be a huge amount more [about the impacts of marine heatwaves] that we don’t know about [yet] because of the time it takes to publish in scientific literature.”

The effect on species was often devastating. Whales and dolphins venture closer to shore when the water is warm because they follow their prey, so this increased their chances of stranding, said Smith. For Mediterranean fan mussels, which have been dying in their millions since 2016, marine heatwaves may be the final nail in the coffin because the warming waters bring increased risk of diseases, the study said.

An aerial photo from February 2023 showing flooding caused by Cyclone Gabrielle in Awatoto, New Zealand. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

Although human intervention saved some marine life from the recent heatwaves, the study found damage reduction was mostly lacking, possibly due to limited resources, disconnects between organisations and poor communication.

When there was time to prepare, successful mitigation actions included moving corals and conches in Florida to deeper, cooler water and keeping endangered Tasmanian red handfish in aquariums until they could be returned to the wild.

For corals, the study said initiatives to create new colonies using assisted sexual reproduction that increases genetic diversity showed potential, with increased resilience to bleaching “observed in trial populations of reef-building corals across the Caribbean and Mexico”.

Increased ocean temperatures can sometimes bring small wins, the study noted. In Peru, for example, while the anchovy catch was badly affected by the fish moving outside their normal range – a shift that led to commercial fishery closures and estimated losses of $1.4bn (£1.1bn) – squid landings increased.

A juvenile queen conch. Scientists in the US moved some of the molluscs into cooler waters to protect them from the warming ocean. Photograph: Jennifer Doerr/NOAA SEFSC Galveston

Better forecasting, the study found, is critical to reducing damage from severe marine heatwaves, because it provides “greater confidence” for those making damage limitation decisions.

Valeria Pizarro, a scientist at America’s Perry Institute for Marine Science, who was not part of the study, said watching corals bleach “in the blink of my eyes” made her feel “very sad and frustrated”. In most cases, she said, the paper showed effective responses to marine heatwaves were lacking because “we weren’t prepared, we didn’t have the money or the manpower to do much in such a short period of time”.

More broadly, said Smith, the direct link between the climate crisis and ocean temperatures means that “until we see a switch from fossil fuels to renewable energy”, marine heatwaves, and the damage they do, will continue to increase.



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